th<\/span>\u00a0best ever). \u00a0These particular statistics are recent creations of course and didn\u2019t exist in 1997 but Clemens had already won three Cy Young awards, an MVP trophy, and led the AL five times in the ERA (Earned Runs Average) that we grew up knowing how to figure out with a calculator (Earned runs per 9 innings pitched).<\/p>\nBonds\u2019 WAR of 99.6 through 1998 would have been good enough for 19th<\/sup> all-time at that point in history, behind 18 Hall of Famers.\u00a0 The only player among the next 20 after who is not in Cooperstown is Pete Rose.\u00a0 His 164+ OPS would have placed him 10th<\/sup> in the career record books through the \u201998 season.\u00a0 Regarding his more tangible accomplishments, he was already a 3-time MVP winner and the only player in the history of baseball to hit over 400 home runs (411) and steal over 400 bases (445). The older and much bulkier version of Bonds, by the way, only stole 69 more bases in the final 9 years of his career.<\/p>\nSo, it\u2019s fairly obvious, with all of their accomplishments, both players would have easily been first-ballot Hall of Famers if they had just hung up their spikes before they ever (allegedly) used any PED\u2019s. \u00a0They would have still amassed staggering statistics if they had stayed clean until the end of their playing days. And it\u2019s for that reason that I believe that both Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens should be in Cooperstown.\u00a0 However, if I was a member of the BBWAA and I had a vote to make this week, I would not include either Bonds or Clemens on my ballot<\/span>.\u00a0\u00a0 Let me explain the contradiction.<\/p>\nFirst of all, let\u2019s get out of the way the obvious reason why they aren\u2019t in the Hall of Fame yet: the preponderance of evidence shows that both players did in fact use steroids, which were and are illegal in this country then and now.\u00a0 They attempted to gain a competitive advantage over other players who were \u201cclean.\u201d\u00a0 Essentially, the anti-Bonds-Clemens argument is that they were dishonest cheaters.\u00a0 This is the same reason why the voters have almost unilaterally rejected McGwire, Sosa and Palmeiro.\u00a0 The only reason why Bonds and Clemens have gained about 35% of the vote in their two years of eligibility is that there are voters who recognize, as I just chronicled, that these two men were so great<\/span> as baseball players that there is no shadow of a doubt that their Cooperstown resumes were not a product of steroids, their resumes were merely enhanced by them.\u00a0 There are hundreds (possibly thousands) of players who used PED\u2019s.\u00a0 They didn\u2019t all hit 763 home runs or win 354 games.<\/p>\nHowever, it is very difficult to argue against a position that says \u201cthey cheated; they don\u2019t deserve to be rewarded with a plaque in Cooperstown.\u201d\u00a0 While there is no excuse for what they did, you have to remember the culture of baseball in the late 1990\u2019s.\u00a0 There was no drug testing in the sport, the fans didn\u2019t seem to care, the media didn\u2019t seem to care, Commissioner Bud Selig didn\u2019t seem to care.\u00a0 Everybody was so caught up in the home run show that they\/we all turned a blind eye to what was so apparent for anybody to see.\u00a0 Look at it from Bonds\u2019 and Clemens\u2019 standpoint: \u201ceverybody else is doing it, Selig doesn\u2019t care, why shouldn\u2019t I keep up with the Sosas and McGwires and show them how good I am? \u00a0I’m better than the rest of these guys!\u201d<\/p>\n
Imagine that you\u2019re driving on the interstate at the speed limit of 65 miles per hour.\u00a0 Dozens of cars pass you by at 75 miles per hour.\u00a0 You see a state trooper just sitting there on the side of the road, waiting for the 90-mile-per-hour speed demon.\u00a0 Wouldn\u2019t you be tempted to push your speedometer up to 75?\u00a0 Is there anybody reading who hasn\u2019t<\/span> actually done this?\u00a0 It\u2019s against the law, but we all do it because it\u2019s de facto acceptable to do it.\u00a0 We\u2019re a society that elects presidents who have admitted that they broke the law.\u00a0 Barack Obama wrote about snorting cocaine in his autobiography, George W. Bush had a DWI and Bill Clinton took marijuana (but didn\u2019t inhale, allegedly, hee hee).\u00a0 Nobody cared. \u00a0The culture of baseball in 1998, regarding PED\u2019s, was \u201canything goes.\u201d<\/p>\nIt\u2019s hard to feel sorry for players who earned tens or hundreds of millions of dollars playing a child\u2019s game, but I do feel sad for Bonds, and Clemens, and McGwire, and Sosa, and Palmeiro.\u00a0 I met them all during my ESPN days and liked each one but Bonds, but he was a little gruff with most of the media.\u00a0 Clemens and Sosa in particular were delightful when they joined our Up Close<\/em> studio set in Hollywood. \u00a0I regard this whole torrid affair as an unnecessary tragedy.<\/p>\nWhat these players did was tolerated when they did it.\u00a0 The after the fact witch hunt ensnared them and others by imposing a retroactive morality towards their misdeeds.\u00a0 Well, that retroactive justice does not<\/span> mean that they have to return their MVP or Cy Young trophies, it doesn\u2019t mean their teams are stripped of their World Series titles (not that there were any titles for Bonds, Sosa or Palmiero).\u00a0 This is not Lance Armstrong justice.\u00a0 The only justice left to impose on these men is by the judge and jury known as the Baseball Writers Association of America.\u00a0 They have rendered their decision and the verdict is to deny each and every one of them entrance into the Hall of Fame.<\/p>\nIn his first year of Hall of Fame eligibility, Clemens earned 38% of the writers\u2019 votes, barely half of the 75% needed for induction.\u00a0 Bonds tallied 36% in his first year.\u00a0 The next year, both men earned about 35% of the vote.\u00a0 Many pundits felt that the first year vote was one of \u201cmaking a statement\u201d of disapproval and that, in the second year, the vote totals would significantly increase.\u00a0 Instead, the pro-Bonds-Clemens camp remained virtually intact and the anti-Bonds-Clemens camp remained intact as well.\u00a0 So what we have is a stalemate.\u00a0 Most players\u2019 ballot totals fluctuate from year to year.\u00a0 Writers study a player\u2019s career further and decide to change their votes from \u201cyes\u201d to \u201cno\u201d or vice versa.\u00a0 \u00a0Bert Blyleven gained just 17.5% of the vote in 1998 but, as time passed and supporters made convincing arguments, he eventually gained enshrinement on his 14th<\/sup> try with nearly 80% support.\u00a0 Blyleven\u2019s is just one of the most recent examples, it\u2019s happened throughout the history of Hall of Fame voting.<\/p>\nWith Bonds and Clemens, nobody is quibbling over whether their statistics are Cooperstown worthy.\u00a0 Of course they were.\u00a0 So the vote for or against Bonds or Clemens is not about whether they\u2019re two of the best ten players on the ballot (they\u2019re the best two, by far).\u00a0 The vote is strictly about morality, do they deserve to gain induction in spite of their sins or should they be denied because of them.\u00a0 This is like the abortion debate, albeit with lower stakes.\u00a0 Some people believe that abortion is murder; others believe that nobody has the right to tell a woman what she can do with her body.\u00a0 It\u2019s pretty hard to sway people from those two deeply held convictions.\u00a0 In our lifetimes we may never<\/span> get 75% of the population to agree on this issue.\u00a0 It\u2019s hard to get 75% of the people to agree on anything and there\u2019s no chance, no chance whatsoever<\/span>, that the Bonds-Clemens support (which has been steady around 35% for two cycles) is going to more than double in the next 8 years.<\/p>\nOK, now that we\u2019ve established what\u2019s happened so far and my personal belief that Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens were so far and away better than their clean or dirty peers that they belong in Cooperstown, why am I also<\/span> advocating that the current group of writers not vote for either men (or McGwire and Sosa for that matter)?<\/p>\nThe reason is simple pragmatism.\u00a0 Bonds and Clemens and not going to be inducted into the Hall of Fame through the writers\u2019 ballots.\u00a0 Period.\u00a0 You would have to change the minds of half of the \u201cagainst\u201d voters and that is simply not going to happen.\u00a0 Each of the nearly 600 members of the BBWAA who are eligible to vote can vote for up to ten players.\u00a0 They can also vote for as few as they want.\u00a0 Anybody who votes for Bonds or Clemens is essentially limiting themselves to eight votes for players who have a fighting chance for enshrinement.\u00a0 The problem is that there are currently 10-to-20 other players on the ballot who had careers worthy of serious Cooperstown consideration.\u00a0 The PED boys\u2019 continued presence on the ballot is creating a backlog.\u00a0 It\u2019s making the math harder and harder for anybody but a \u201cno-doubter\u201d candidate to make it.<\/p>\n
This year, pitchers Randy Johnson and Pedro Martinez will almost certainly get elected, and will be on the ballots of virtually every writer who is serious about the honor of voting. \u00a0So anybody who votes for Johnson or Martinez and also<\/span> votes for Bonds or Clemens has only six spaces left to choose among the remaining 15 or so worthy choices.\u00a0 Many pundits also believe that John Smoltz will be a first-ballot selection, leaving only five choices left for Bonds-Clemens voters.<\/p>\nBesides the ballot-clogging votes for Bonds, Clemens, McGwire and Sosa, other players are still on the outside looking in because of the difficulty of any voter paring 15-to-20 candidates down to 10.\u00a0 Craig Biggio, owner of 3,060 hits (most for a 2nd baseman since Eddie Collins, who retired in 1930) fell an excruciating two votes short of induction last year.\u00a0 Because most writers\u2019 ballots aren\u2019t made public, it\u2019s hard to say how many voters left Biggio off the ballot but did<\/span> include Bonds and Clemens, but it\u2019s certainly much more than two.\u00a0 It is perfectly reasonable for these writers to have made this choice: Bonds and Clemens were light years better than Craig Biggio ever dreamed of being but the question now is this: will these writers stubbornly continue to mark Bonds and Clemens on their ballots instead of two other worthy choices now that anybody can see plainly that they\u2019re not going to get into the Hall through the BBWAA?<\/p>\nBy the way, it\u2019s not just Bonds, Clemens, McGwire and Sosa who are tainted by PED\u2019s on the ballot.\u00a0 Gary Sheffield joins them this year and two other players, Mike Piazza and Jeff Bagwell, are still on the ballot because of currently unsubstantiated \u201csuspicions\u201d of PED use.\u00a0 In the minds of some voters, they are guilty until proven innocent.\u00a0 Piazza earned 62% of the vote last year, Bagwell 54%.<\/p>\n
So with so many star players (clean or otherwise) clogging up the ballot, excellent players like Curt Schilling, Mike Mussina, Edgar Martinez, Tim Raines, Fred McGriff, Larry Walker, Alan Trammell and Jeff Kent are getting lost in the shuffle because voters cannot vote for more than ten players.\u00a0 As I established in my last article (\u201cThe Over-Crowded 2015 Hall of Fame Ballot\u201d), there are 24 players with legitimate Cooperstown resumes.\u00a0 I\u2019m not suggesting that all 24 should be enshrined, but it is a documentable fact that all 24 were better baseball players than many others who already have plaques.<\/p>\n
So my advice to the voters is this: if you believe that Bonds and Clemens belong in Cooperstown (as I do) but also believe that there are at least ten other players who deserve it as well, then leave Bonds and Clemens off your ballots.\u00a0 They\u2019re not going to get in anyway, so help the cause of other worthy players who have, so far, been the Cooperstown collateral damage of the steroid era.\u00a0 If you\u2019re a voter who is a Hall of Fame hard-liner, if you don\u2019t think there are more than 8 other players worthy of induction, then go ahead and vote for them if you please.<\/p>\n
The counter-argument to what I’m proposing is that it lacks integrity, that voters should select the 10 men who they feel are the most worthy candidates and that the should not “game” the system. \u00a0Intellectually, I agree with that position but the problem is this: in the normal Hall of Fame voting universe, Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens would not be on the ballot\u00a0every year<\/span>, as they are likely to be for eight more. \u00a0They would have been elected in their first year, as Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine and Frank Thomas were one year ago. \u00a0So, unless voters are permitted to vote for more than 10 players, the system is already broken and “gaming” it is the best way to keep other players from suffering for the sins of the PED users. Incidentally, the Hall is contemplating allowing writers to vote for 12 players starting next year, which would be a big help.<\/p>\nOne final note, this regarding Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa, who are still on the ballot but received so little support last year (McGwire at 11%, Sosa at 7%), that they have a high risk of dropping off future ballots completely by falling short of the necessary 5% threshold. \u00a0If you\u2019re a voter wrestling with the decision of whether to leave off the 8th<\/sup> and 10th<\/sup> leading home run hitters of all time and the stars of the thrilling 1998 home run chase, I\u2019m going to make it easy: there are so many good players on the 2015 ballot that McGwire and Sosa are not among the ten best.\u00a0 Using WAR (Wins Above Replacement), they are the 14th<\/sup> and 17th<\/sup> best players on this ballot.\u00a0 Now, I do not worship at the temple of WAR, I consider it a flawed statistic, but it does give food for thought and it\u2019s an easy way to justify not voting for players who have so little support now that their chances of getting elected are zero anyway.\u00a0 As with Bonds and Clemens, the majority of BBWAA writers have rendered their verdict, the verdict is \u201cguilty\u201d for all four men and there\u2019s no reason to fight that battle when there are other players worthy of the honor of enshrinement into Cooperstown.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Should the BBWAA vote for Bonds and Clemens for the Hall of Fame? This time of year, for the third time, nearly 600 members of the Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) must ponder the question: should they vote for Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens for the Hall of Fame?\u00a0 We\u2019re talking about two of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":198,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-baseball-hall-of-fame"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/WEBSITE-BONDS-AND-CLEMENS-e1451441246370.png?fit=394%2C234&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5rqzv-3b","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":1039,"url":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?p=1039","url_meta":{"origin":197,"position":0},"title":"Why Writers should NOT vote for Bonds & Clemens for the Hall","author":"chrisbodig@gmail.com","date":"December 30, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Should the BBWAA vote for Bonds and Clemens for the Hall of Fame? I wrote about this a year ago: this is an updated version of the same post, call it a 2nd Edition. I'll answer the question here up front: NO. If I were a member of the\u00a0Baseball Writers\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Baseball"","block_context":{"text":"Baseball","link":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?cat=12"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/WEBSITE-BONDS-AND-CLEMENS-e1451441246370.png?fit=394%2C234&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2283,"url":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?p=2283","url_meta":{"origin":197,"position":1},"title":"Cooperstown’s Crumbling PED Wall","author":"chrisbodig@gmail.com","date":"December 31, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"(updated on January 2, 2017) A year ago I penned an article entitled, \"Why Writers should NOT vote for Bonds and Clemens for the Hall.\"\u00a0 My reasoning was this: both Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens had polled at 35% (of the minimum 75% needed for induction) on the 2015 Hall\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Baseball"","block_context":{"text":"Baseball","link":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?cat=12"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/BONDS-CLEMENS.png?fit=757%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/BONDS-CLEMENS.png?fit=757%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/BONDS-CLEMENS.png?fit=757%2C512&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/BONDS-CLEMENS.png?fit=757%2C512&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2513,"url":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?p=2513","url_meta":{"origin":197,"position":2},"title":"A Trio Gets into the Hall while Bonds and Clemens Climb","author":"chrisbodig@gmail.com","date":"February 4, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"A little over two weeks ago, the Baseball Writers Association of America elected three new members to the Hall of Fame. Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell and Ivan Rodriguez will join Cooperstown's inclusive club of baseball legends when they are inducted this summer. So, after the Hall of Fame shutout of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Baseball"","block_context":{"text":"Baseball","link":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?cat=12"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/BAGWELL-RAINES-RODRIGUEZ-HOF-JERSEYS.png?fit=992%2C666&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/BAGWELL-RAINES-RODRIGUEZ-HOF-JERSEYS.png?fit=992%2C666&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/BAGWELL-RAINES-RODRIGUEZ-HOF-JERSEYS.png?fit=992%2C666&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/BAGWELL-RAINES-RODRIGUEZ-HOF-JERSEYS.png?fit=992%2C666&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":295,"url":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?p=295","url_meta":{"origin":197,"position":3},"title":"The Hall of Fame Class of 2015","author":"chrisbodig@gmail.com","date":"January 6, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Earlier today, for the first time since exactly 60 years ago when Joe DiMaggio and 3 others were chosen, the Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) elected four new members to the National Baseball Hall of Fame.\u00a0 Randy Johnson, Pedro Martinez, John Smoltz and Craig Biggio will be enshrined into\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Baseball"","block_context":{"text":"Baseball","link":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?cat=12"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/WEBSITE-HALL-OF-FAME-MUSEUM.jpg?fit=550%2C413&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/WEBSITE-HALL-OF-FAME-MUSEUM.jpg?fit=550%2C413&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/WEBSITE-HALL-OF-FAME-MUSEUM.jpg?fit=550%2C413&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1122,"url":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?p=1122","url_meta":{"origin":197,"position":4},"title":"Griffey and Piazza: The Hall of Fame Class of 2016","author":"chrisbodig@gmail.com","date":"January 6, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Congratulations to\u00a0Ken Griffey Jr.\u00a0and\u00a0Mike Piazza, who today were elected to the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum and will have their plaques revealed during their induction ceremony this summer in Cooperstown, New York. In order to be elected to the Hall, a candidate must supported by at least 75%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Baseball"","block_context":{"text":"Baseball","link":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?cat=12"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chrisbodig.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/WEBSITE-GRIFFEY.png?fit=384%2C365&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":178,"url":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?p=178","url_meta":{"origin":197,"position":5},"title":"The Over-Crowded 2015 Hall of Fame Ballot","author":"chrisbodig@gmail.com","date":"December 15, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"For a baseball fan, one of the great treats at the start of the New Year is the announcement of the newest class of Hall of Fame players as voted by the Baseball Writers Association of America.\u00a0 The anticipation felt by fans throughout the country is surpassed only by the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Baseball"","block_context":{"text":"Baseball","link":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/?cat=12"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=197"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":285,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197\/revisions\/285"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/198"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=197"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chrisbodig.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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